Oh dear.
Yonks ago, I posted info to Ms Garrett’s forum, re wild birds and h5n1, but seems that she’s yet to grasp the issue, instead remaining a stalwart believer in the Tooth Fairy Bird.

I note this after seeing she’s lately had this appear on Promed:

As the number of reported H5N1 outbreaks in Asia mounts, I am trying to
reckon trends for this spring. Given the profound El Nino Southern
Oscillation (ENSO) effect this year [2007] on Europe and North America, I
am wondering what is known about aquatic Asian bird migrations and ENSO. A
cursory database check finds confusion. Warmer temperatures seem to
decrease some European migrations. But the increased rainfall induced by
ENSO in the Pacific seems to increase bird breeding and migration as a
result of increased tree budding, nut formation, and insect populations.

Does anybody have a clear sense of how periodic global climate oscillations
effect the migratory patterns of aquatic bird species? For example, are
birds that frequent the Asia flyways to Siberia more or less likely to jump
the Bering to Alaska? Are birds in the Atlantic flyway more or less likely
to migrate from Greenland to northern Canada?

Laurie Garrett
Senior Fellow for Global Health
Council on Foreign Relations
NY, NY 10021

I have emailed Laurie Garrett with some info:

Hi Laurie:

I think you’ll find the Tooth Fairy Bird is very variable in its migration paths.

Doesn’t really fluctuate with climate; instead, it migrates to and from places where H5N1 is found, and officials are unwilling to admit real causes.

As concerns real birds: well, first let’s see if any actual species has been shown capable of surviving and sustaining and spreading H5N1.

… how are you doing on answering this one?


err, thought so.

So, you are indeed interested in movements of the Tooth Fairy Bird.
Good luck.

Best regards,
Dr Martin Williams